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2022 RBC Canadian Open odds
|Harold Varner III||+3300|
|Cheng Cong Pan||+7000|
|Rafael Cabrera Bello||+25000|
|Bo Van Pelt||+50000|
|Dawei van der Walt||+50000|
|Seong Yeol Noh||+50000|
|Jared de tweets||+75000|
|Darren Andrew Points||+100000|
|Richard S. Johnson||+100000|
The PGA Tour is headed to Toronto for the RBC Canadian Open to finally stop before the third major tournament of the season. This will be the first time the Canadian Open has been held since 2019.
The fan experience should be special this week as the tournament will feature “horizon seats” 100 feet above the field and overlooking the 1st and 18th slots.
St. George’s Golf and Country Club is 70 bars in size and has 7,014 yards and features bentgrass greens. The cycle is a tree lined layout with three fives and fives shapes.
The RBC Canadian Open will host 156 golfers this week. Five of the world’s top 10 golfers will be playing it this week. Notable players include Scotty Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Cameron Smith, Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry, Matt Fitzpatrick and Sam Burns.
Previous winners of the RBC Canadian Open
- 2019: Rory McIlroy (-22)
- 2018: Dustin Johnson (-23)
- 2017: Jonathan Vegas (-21)
- 2016: Jonathan Vegas (-12)
- 2010: Carl Peterson (-14) *
* The last time this event was held in St. George.
Five key stats for St. George
Let’s take a look at six major scales of the St. George’s scale To determine which golfers boast the highest marks in each class over the last 24 rounds.
1. Acquired Strokes: Approach
The best measure to start with is Strokes Gained: Approach. Proficiency in iron playing is a requirement anywhere, and this statistic will help target the most popular golfers. In addition, St. George features a great deal of false fronts which makes iron play even more important.
Strokes gained: Approach more than 24 rounds
- Scotty Scheffler (+25.8) (+900)
- Shane Lowry (+24.5) (+2000)
- Cameron Smith (+22.9) (+1400)
- Rory McIlroy (+18.8) (+1000)
- Sam Burns (+17.2) (+1400)
2. Acquisition of strokes: off the tee
The walkways in St. George are narrow and lined with trees. Golfers with the ability to hit the ball straight and long have an advantage this week.
Hit Earned: Off the tee for the past 24 rounds
- Rory McIlroy (+19.3) (+1000)
- Corey Connors (+18.0) (+2200)
- Matt Fitzpatrick (+15.5) (+2000)
- Camchamp (+15.1) (+13,000)
- Tony Vino (+14.6) (+2500)
3. Paragraph 3: 200-225
Four of five Par 3’s at St. George range from 200 to 225 yards and should play as some of the toughest holes on the track.
Value 3: 200-225 over the previous 24 rounds:
- von taylor (+9.6) (+25000)
- Brian Steward (+5.2) (+25000)
- Matt Fitzpatrick (+4.6) (+2000)
- CT . frying pan (+3.7) (+8000)
- Patrick Reed (+3.6) (+4500)
4. Strokes Earned: Total (70 bar under 7,200 yards)
Golfers who play Well Bar 70 Luxor should have an advantage in St. George’s.
Strokes Gained: Total (70 feet under 7,200 yards) over 24 rounds
- Justin Rose (+32.0) (+5000)
- Rory McIlroy (+31.2) (+1000)
- Mackenzie Hughes (+27.9) (+7000)
- Corey Connors (+27.1) (+2200)
- Harold Varner III (+27.0) (+3500)
5. Acquisition of Strokes: Multiplication (Pentgrass)
The PGA Tour has been playing in courses featuring Bentgrass greens in recent weeks, so this statistic will give us a good idea of who’s feeling it with the paddle.
Hit earned: (Pentgrass) mode over the past 24 rounds
- Rory McIlroy (+19.4) (+1000)
- Johnson Wagner (+17.7) (+100000)
- Keith Mitchell (+17.5) (+5000)
- Mackenzie Hughes (+17.2) (+7000)
- Justin Rose (+16.5) (+5000)
RBC Canadian Open Model Rankings
Below, I have compiled overall model ratings using a combination of the five main statistical categories discussed earlier – SG: Approach (27%), SG: OTT (22%), Par 3: 200-225 (11%), Strokes Gained : short total equal to 70 (21.6%), SG: bentgrass mode (18%).
- Rory McIlroy (+1000)
- Scotty Scheffler (+900)
- Shane Lowry (+2000)
- CT . frying pan (+8000)
- Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)
- Corey Connors (+2000)
- Keith Mitchell (+5000)
- Justin Rose (+5000)
- Chris Kirk (+4500)
- Terrell Hutton (+2800)
2022 RBC Canadian Open Best Bets
Matt Fitzpatrick +2000
Last week, Matt Fitzpatrick missed the number cut at the memorial. Some people may see the dreaded “MC” when checking its last form and get scared, but not all missed wounds can be treated the same way.
In Fitzpatrick’s case, a very abnormal situation was responsible for his uncharacteristically short week. The Englishman lost 7.6 strokes in two rounds, making him the worst performance of his career (in just two rounds!). There were no issues with the rest of the game, taking a 6.5 hit from a tee to the green.
Prior to the memorial, Fitzpatrick had been playing golf excellently. In his past 10 starts, the 27-year-old has had seven top 15 appearances. Plus, it was the last time Fitz missed a cut at RBC Heritage. He went on to finish second at Wells Fargo the following week.
St. George’s Park should be a perfect fit for Fitzpatrick. Accuracy will be critical on this golf course, both off the tee and on approach. Fairways are tree-lined and narrow, the kind of setting that Fitzpatrick thrived on throughout his career. In his past 24 runs, he has ranked third in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and has the perfect combination of distance and accuracy to make this track more manageable.
It’s no secret that Fitzpatrick had a hard time winning the PGA Tour. Leaving the United States for an event north of the border is probably exactly what he needs to get over the hump.
Terrell Hutton +2800
Before taking off last week, Terrell Hutton put on a solid display in the PGA Championship. He finished 13th and had a 3.6 stroke on the approach. Iron play has been strong for the England player this season, as he has earned close-kicks in five of his past six calculated events and is 15th on the field in his past 24 rounds.
A challenging garden style path should be the perfect fit for Hatton. He’s not one of the tallest players out of the shirt, so the fact that he can step back and still be successful at St. George may come up somewhat on the field.
The course probably couldn’t be beat, and his grinding mentality would undoubtedly bode well. Hatton ranks seventh on the field at Par 3:200-225, and he should be able to gain an advantage on the field on those tricky holes.
Hutton has not won the PGA Tour since March 2020, but has been a fairly prolific winner worldwide with seven combined wins on the DP World Tour and the PGA Tour. With five of the past six Canadian Open champions not being American, this looks like a good chance for him to get back into the winners circle.