NFL teams are required to rest with presence uncomfortable. It’s a way of life. The “next man” is a mentality because it is a necessity. Systems change, players advance, and life as you know it can change at any moment.
But it’s not something many of those responsible for the crime of presidents have dealt with in recent years. not like this is.
Patrick Mahomes, Terek Hill, and Travis Kelsey have been involved in the hip from the moment Mahomes became Chiefs primary captain in 2018. Kelsey has missed one game since Mahomes took charge. Hill has only missed four, all of which come early in the 2019 season.
We’re all about to experience life without Hill for the first time this season. It will look different. it will be for Feel Different.
Difference doesn’t necessarily mean it’s bad. But what could count as a successful season for the Chiefs’ new-looking scroll-hunting corps? Before we look ahead, let’s take a look at the perspective of what we should be looking for.
I promise I won’t bore many numbers, but to know what we can expect in 2022 requires looking at what we expect from the Chiefs’ attack with Mahomes at the helm.
Mahomes’ average 17-game season includes 630 pass attempts, 420 completions, 5,000 passing yards and 40 passing touchdowns.
We know Andy Reed loves to engage his passing game appearance, and Chiefs arguably has the biggest tight end in the world. This will remove a large number of targets from wide receivers.
Chiefs passing regular season (2018-2021)*
|broad receptors||three hundred fifty||220||2750|
|turn their backs||110||85||750|
* Each season has 17 games
What does it all mean?
Well, it leaves approximately 340 targets, 220 receptions and 2,750 receiving yards for the wide receivers. This is where things get interesting.
Let’s start with the hottest new game: Skyy Moore
Wide receivers had varied success under Reed’s leadership. Some people like DeSean Jackson came in and contributed right away like the legitimate #1 at scale. Most others seem to take a fair amount of time to absorb the vast crime.
Rising wide receivers under Andy Reed
It shouldn’t shock anyone if these average numbers for wide receivers under Reid are Moore’s bottom line this season. This might come as a bit of a disappointment, but it shouldn’t be. It’s hard to be a beginner; It’s much more difficult to do that in Red’s attack. Moore will be fine, even if his numbers this season have been a little disappointing.
What should we expect from veteran add-ons?
JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marques Valdes-Scantling both feel like the forgotten men in the Chiefs’ wide receiving corps. They shouldn’t be. In fact, they are probably the players most likely to lead The Chiefs in the receiving yards this season.
Smith-Schuster acts as a possession receiver who moves the chains the way Sammy Watkins and Jeremy McClain did throughout their time in Kansas City. Watkins’ pace per 17 games with the Chiefs was about 65 receptions for 800 yards. Something in this range makes a lot of sense for the first Smith-Schuster red and gold season.
Drop JoJo Smith Shuster: 110 goals, 80 receiving, 850 yards, eight touchdowns
Valdes-Scantling is the toughest player on the show. It seems to have quite a connection with Mahomes in OTAs, but it’s important to remember that these are not in platforms and players of size and speed tend to look good in this type of setting. Valdes-Scantling has been a vertical threat for most of his career. Is it more than that? It seems as though the chiefs would like to know. But there are only so many receptions to wrap around.
Projection of the Marquis Valdes-Scantling: 85 goals, 55 receptions, 825 yards, six touchdowns
What does that leave for Mikol Hardman?
The big possibility is one of two things happening this season: at least one of the top four wide receivers has a disappointing year relative to expectations, or the four are “strong” when it comes to their production. If one of the players backs off, it could be Hardman.
I’m excited about Hardman. I think he found his place at the end of last season. He averaged three receptions for 40 yards per game in the second half of the year. This is really solid! It is also a possible recognition of what it is and what it is Can is being. A wider, deeper receiver means fewer targets to roam. A flat distribution appears likely, leaving Hardman around his year-end career averages.
Projection Mikol Hardman: 75 goals, 40 receptions, 600 yards, six touchdowns
Can chiefs get through without a “go-to” wide receiver?
It’s entirely possible that the Chiefs won’t have a 1,000-yard wide receiver next year. In fact, these predictions occur exactly.
Wide receiver projections heads
|jojo smith schuster||110||80||850||8|
Is that a problem?
Not if Kelsey is the same. Chiefs chose this path for a reason. They could have re-signed Hill for the top dollar and continued on the same path for the two goal-dominated players. They decided to go a different route for a reason. Part of that has to do with maximum cover, but it also has to do with how teams defended last season’s bosses.
You’ve pointed out how the Patriots developed as a crime in Tom Brady’s career, and I think it’s relevant to this presidents transition. The Patriots went from a defensive-minded side in the early 2000s to a more intelligent attacking player in the league when they added Randy Moss and Wes Welker in 2007. The Randy Moss element lasted for three seasons. By 2010, the Patriots had moved into the narrow offensive with Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. By 2013, the Patriots were officially in Gronk/Julian Edelman mode. This continued for much of the next five years.
The moral of the story is that the “Tom Brady Murder” has taken on different meanings depending on the era it is referring to. This is the primary focus of chief crime in the Mahomes era. There will be many.
Difference doesn’t mean a bad thing—even if the new batch of wide receivers doesn’t publish the same flashy numbers that Hill spent his time with the Chiefs.